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What this means. A wallet put $67.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$67.9k
SELL No @ 93¢ · 73,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet pugdev took No (sell) for $67.9k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $67.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 7.0%
- Size
- $67.9k
- Placed
- Mar 30, 14:01 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pugdev
- Tx
- 0x52eeceae…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+0.2 pts
expected 3.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |