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CAR-GangVersion

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$9.69M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$234.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $80.28M volume · 11,530 trades · since Mar 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$236.0k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$1,879
Closed-position win rate
93%
55 closed
Wallet age · markets
208d
54 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $715.9k
15.5× usual
99% 128d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $184.2k
4.0× usual
100% 130d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $242.9k
5.2× usual
99% 143d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $84.1k99% 143d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $164.0k
3.5× usual
99% 144d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.9¢ $38.4k98% 147d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ $69.3k98% 147d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.6¢ $11.0k98% 147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $26.4k0% 149d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $13.0k99% 150d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $15.4k99% 151d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW SELL No @ 96.8¢ $18.5k3% 152d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $120.3k
2.6× usual
100% 152d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $36.8k99% 159d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $36.8k99% 159d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $99.7k
2.2× usual
1% 161d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ $67.1k1% 161d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $21.0k1% 161d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $49.8k99% 165d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $23.3k100% 166d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ $33.1k99% 166d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $29.8k99% 166d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ $44.3k99% 166d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ $14.0k98% 166d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ $22.7k98% 166d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW BUY Rockets @ 96¢ $12.4k96% 180d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?MED BUY No @ 99.7¢ $502.4k
10.9× usual
100% 180d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $2.99M
64.7× usual
100% 180d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $1.69M
36.5× usual
100% 181d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $23.3k99% 183d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $46.3k100% 205d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $48.0k99% 206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $111.0k
2.4× usual
100% 207d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $13.4k0% 207d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?MED BUY No @ 99.5¢ $886.7k
19.2× usual
99% 208d agoexcluded
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $66.5k100% 208d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?MED BUY No @ 99.7¢ $1.12M
24.2× usual
100% 208d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$715.9k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 128d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$184.2k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 130d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$242.9k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 143d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 98.8¢$84.1k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 143d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$164.0k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 144d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.9¢$38.4k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 147d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.8¢$69.3k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 147d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.6¢$11.0k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 147d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$26.4k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 149d ago
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$13.0k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 150d ago
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$15.4k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 151d ago
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?excluded
SELL No @ 96.8¢$18.5k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 152d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$120.3k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 152d ago
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded
BUY No @ 98.8¢$36.8k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 159d ago
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded
BUY No @ 98.6¢$36.8k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 159d ago
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded
SELL No @ 99¢$99.7k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 161d ago
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded
SELL No @ 99.1¢$67.1k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 161d ago
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded
SELL No @ 99.2¢$21.0k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 161d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.3¢$49.8k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 165d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 31?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$23.3k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 166d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.2¢$33.1k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 166d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 31?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$29.8k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 166d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.1¢$44.3k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 166d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.8¢$14.0k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 166d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 31?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98.5¢$22.7k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 166d ago
Lakers vs. Rocketsexcluded
BUY Rockets @ 96¢$12.4k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 180d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$502.4k
MED CAR-GangVersion · 180d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$2.99M
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 180d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$1.69M
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 181d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$23.3k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 183d ago
US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$46.3k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 205d ago
US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$48.0k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 206d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$111.0k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 207d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$13.4k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 207d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$886.7k
MED CAR-GangVersion · 208d ago
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$66.5k
LOW CAR-GangVersion · 208d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$1.12M
MED CAR-GangVersion · 208d ago

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