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What this means. A wallet put $21.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.0k
SELL No @ 99.2¢ · 21,188 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet CAR-GangVersion took No (sell) for $21.0k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.2¢
- Implied odds
- 0.8%
- Size
- $21.0k
- Placed
- May 15, 15:02 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- CAR-GangVersion
- Tx
- 0xd94de860…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.8k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $128.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |