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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -3.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-3.0 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$2.03M
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±12.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$15.1k
Last 30 days −$0 · $51.27M volume · 52,575 trades · since Mar 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 413 closed
−$14.6k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$366
Closed-position win rate
34%
413 closed
Wallet age · markets
211d
321 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.1 | -3.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xccc1af…