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What this means. A wallet put $79.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$79.8k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 80,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 66601 took No (buy) for $79.8k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $79.8k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $79.8k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 08:27 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 22:19 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 66601
- Tx
- 0x76e298df…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $115.6k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $12.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $12.5k | excluded |