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What this means. A wallet put $79.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?excluded
$79.8k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 80,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 66601 took No (buy) for $79.8k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $79.8k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
99.7%
Size
$79.8k
Placed
Apr 25, 08:27 EDT
Market close
May 14, 22:19 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
66601
Tx
0x76e298df…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $115.6k
2.8× usual
100% 66601185d agoexcluded
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $12.5k0% tgyhugyhj192d agoexcluded
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $12.5k100% tgyhugyhj192d agoexcluded