← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $22.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.5 pts over 26 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.6k
BUY No @ 92¢ · 24,574 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet scottilicious took No (buy) for $22.6k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 92.0%
- Size
- $22.6k
- Placed
- Mar 27, 11:03 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- scottilicious
- Tx
- 0x0d9c605a…
This wallet's graded record
23/26+1.5 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |