0xc67c…9ad5

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -11.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?−$4Yes · avg 26¢ → 24¢ · $72

Price-adjusted edge

-11.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.1

Flagged volume

$127.5k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$3,289

Last 30 days +$773 · $523.6k volume · 646 trades · since Oct 07, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$4,121

Open P&L · 127 positions

−$7,087

Closed-position win rate

39%

289 closed

Wallet age · markets

747d

432 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	0	0.1	-11.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢	$14.7k	2%	192d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	LOW SELL No @ 96¢	$14.4k	4%	195d ago	missed
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢	$29.1k	97%	195d ago	called
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	LOW SELL No @ 90¢	$24.9k	10%	203d ago	missed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	LOW BUY No @ 90.3¢	$25.0k	90%	204d ago	called
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW SELL No @ 89¢	$19.4k	11%	205d ago	missed

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded

SELL No @ 98.2¢$14.7k

LOW 0xc67c…9ad5 · 192d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?missed

SELL No @ 96¢$14.4k

LOW 0xc67c…9ad5 · 195d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?called

BUY No @ 96.8¢$29.1k

LOW 0xc67c…9ad5 · 195d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?missed

SELL No @ 90¢$24.9k

LOW 0xc67c…9ad5 · 203d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?called

BUY No @ 90.3¢$25.0k

LOW 0xc67c…9ad5 · 204d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?missed

SELL No @ 89¢$19.4k

LOW 0xc67c…9ad5 · 205d ago

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