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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
BUY No @ 84¢ · 14,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Pennypickers took No (buy) for $11.8k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−525American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 84.0%
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Mar 17, 06:51 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pennypickers
- Tx
- 0xc2fe1ddb…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+16.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |