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What this means. A wallet put $46.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$46.2k
BUY No @ 98.3¢ · 47,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.4× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet westminster took No (buy) for $46.2k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $46.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5910American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 98.3%
- Size
- $46.2k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 07:44 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- westminster
- Tx
- 0xabd20a5b…
This wallet's graded record
13/15+16.9 pts
expected 10.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |