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What this means. A wallet put $50.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?called
$50.1k
BUY No @ 95.7¢ · 52,396 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tsybka took No (buy) for $50.1k at an average 95.7¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $50.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2226American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.7¢
Implied odds
95.7%
Size
$50.1k
Placed
Apr 04, 15:19 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tsybka
Tx
0xa63fbf46…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+71.4 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $71.7k
3.3× usual
0% Anjun176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% pantomime176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.4k0% OkieDokiePeon177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% duderr177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% RememberAmalek177d agoexcluded