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What this means. A wallet put $48.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
$48.5k
SELL No @ 99.3¢ · 48,868 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Tigerofthehood took No (sell) for $48.5k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $48.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.3¢
Implied odds
0.7%
Size
$48.5k
Placed
Apr 17, 18:51 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Tigerofthehood
Tx
0x2c4e66bc…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+10.6 pts
expected 8.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $71.7k
3.3× usual
0% Anjun176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% pantomime176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.4k0% OkieDokiePeon177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% duderr177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% RememberAmalek177d agoexcluded