WhaleGrader
Log inSign up
← Wallets

Avamax

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +4.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?+$11.0kNo · avg 95.5¢ → 97.8¢ · $471.5kWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?+$3,982No · avg 92.7¢ → 95¢ · $159.5kWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?+$6,982No · avg 91.5¢ → 97¢ · $123.1kWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?−$888No · avg 86¢ → 86¢ · $88.8kWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?+$173No · avg 90.2¢ → 90.5¢ · $49.4k · 1 proven with, 0 againstWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?+$1,891No · avg 90¢ → 94.5¢ · $37.5kWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?+$608No · avg 92.6¢ → 94.5¢ · $30.1k · 1 proven with, 0 againstWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?+$79No · avg 98.5¢ → 98.8¢ · $23.9k

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
+4.7 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$480.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$41.3k
Last 30 days +$22.2k · $20.52M volume · 72,115 trades · since Feb 02, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$613.5k
Open P&L · 97 positions
+$26.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
264d
733 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other111.0+4.7 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $16.3k96% 3d agopending
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $108.5k
3.8× usual
100% 29d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $29.9k100% 75d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $14.5k99% 79d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ $38.7k98% 83d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $29.5k98% 83d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ $16.1k95% 85d agocalled
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $29.6k99% 112d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $14.0k0% 180d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $27.7k1% 183d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $14.0k98% 205d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $51.6k100% 206d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $72.3k
2.5× usual
100% 206d agoexcluded
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $17.7k99% 221d agoexcluded
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?pending
BUY No @ 96¢$16.3k
LOW Avamax · 3d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$108.5k
LOW Avamax · 29d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$29.9k
LOW Avamax · 75d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded
BUY No @ 98.7¢$14.5k
LOW Avamax · 79d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded
BUY No @ 97.7¢$38.7k
LOW Avamax · 83d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?excluded
BUY No @ 97.5¢$29.5k
LOW Avamax · 83d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?called
BUY No @ 95.3¢$16.1k
LOW Avamax · 85d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$29.6k
LOW Avamax · 112d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$14.0k
LOW Avamax · 180d ago
Will Trump visit China by April 30?excluded
SELL No @ 99.5¢$27.7k
LOW Avamax · 183d ago
Will Trump visit China by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 98.2¢$14.0k
LOW Avamax · 205d ago
US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$51.6k
LOW Avamax · 206d ago
US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$72.3k
LOW Avamax · 206d ago
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 98.9¢$17.7k
LOW Avamax · 221d ago

Share this record

WhaleGrader badge
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xc97b0b2a2547bb3ed57167092ef8a6e816c347e5"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xc97b0b2a2547bb3ed57167092ef8a6e816c347e5.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc97b0b…