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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +1.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+1.8 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$24.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3,712
Last 30 days +$0 · $187.9k volume · 88 trades · since Mar 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$3,712
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
89%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
226d
18 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.3 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +8.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $14.3k | called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 95.7¢ | $10.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x777a23…