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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 11,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet adonpoli took No (buy) for $10.7k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97¢
- Implied odds
- 97.0%
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Apr 07, 20:14 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- adonpoli
- Tx
- 0xccec90a4…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-7.2 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |