WhaleGrader
Log inSign up
← Wallets

Obamnna

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -8.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-8.9 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$584.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$44.4k
Last 30 days −$0 · $8.39M volume · 5,213 trades · since Nov 27, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$193.4k
Open P&L · 190 positions
−$52.4k
Closed-position win rate
58%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
696d
854 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other200.2-8.9 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 95.2¢ $11.6k5% 155d agomissed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ $13.2k3% 180d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?MED SELL No @ 93.5¢ $29.9k
2.4× usual
7% 183d agomissed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 92.1¢ $15.0k92% 186d agocalled
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 94¢ $19.1k6% 186d agomissed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $18.0k87% 194d agocalled
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 85¢ $18.2k15% 194d agomissed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $11.9k19% 202d agomissed
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $19.9k0% 206d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $23.0k90% 209d agocalled
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 69¢ $11.9k31% 209d agomissed
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $11.1k7% 209d agomissed
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $11.2k94% 209d agocalled
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 87¢ $11.2k13% 215d agomissed
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ $26.9k
2.1× usual
1% 215d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ $12.4k96% 246d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 80¢ $18.7k20% 248d agoexcluded
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 93.6¢ $10.4k94% 278d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW SELL No @ 79¢ $14.8k21% 285d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $14.8k79% 285d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW SELL No @ 78¢ $11.8k22% 286d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $11.8k78% 286d agocalled
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 95.2¢ $10.7k5% 287d agomissed
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ $12.7k4% 291d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ $15.9k96% 311d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 96¢ $16.3k4% 312d agoexcluded
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $14.0k91% 317d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $10.0k85% 331d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?MED SELL No @ 84¢ $26.8k
2.1× usual
16% 332d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $10.0k84% 336d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED SELL Yes @ 94.2¢ $40.9k
3.2× usual
6% 353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ $20.0k88% 360d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ $11.7k89% 360d agocalled
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 73¢ $11.7k27% 360d agocalled
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $12.0k75% 360d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 72¢ $12.6k28% 361d agocalled
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ $12.6k72% 361d agomissed
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?missed
SELL No @ 95.2¢$11.6k
LOW Obamnna · 155d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?excluded
SELL No @ 97.3¢$13.2k
LOW Obamnna · 180d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?missed
SELL No @ 93.5¢$29.9k
MED Obamnna · 183d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?called
BUY No @ 92.1¢$15.0k
LOW Obamnna · 186d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?missed
SELL No @ 94¢$19.1k
LOW Obamnna · 186d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?called
BUY No @ 87¢$18.0k
LOW Obamnna · 194d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?missed
SELL No @ 85¢$18.2k
LOW Obamnna · 194d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?missed
SELL No @ 81¢$11.9k
LOW Obamnna · 202d ago
US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$19.9k
LOW Obamnna · 206d ago
US forces enter Iran by March 31?called
BUY No @ 90¢$23.0k
LOW Obamnna · 209d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?missed
SELL No @ 69¢$11.9k
LOW Obamnna · 209d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?missed
SELL No @ 93¢$11.1k
LOW Obamnna · 209d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?called
BUY No @ 94¢$11.2k
LOW Obamnna · 209d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?missed
SELL No @ 87¢$11.2k
LOW Obamnna · 215d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 98.7¢$26.9k
LOW Obamnna · 215d ago
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 95.8¢$12.4k
LOW Obamnna · 246d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 80¢$18.7k
LOW Obamnna · 248d ago
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?called
BUY No @ 93.6¢$10.4k
LOW Obamnna · 278d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed
SELL No @ 79¢$14.8k
LOW Obamnna · 285d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called
BUY No @ 79¢$14.8k
LOW Obamnna · 285d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed
SELL No @ 78¢$11.8k
LOW Obamnna · 286d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called
BUY No @ 78¢$11.8k
LOW Obamnna · 286d ago
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?missed
SELL No @ 95.2¢$10.7k
LOW Obamnna · 287d ago
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?missed
SELL No @ 95.8¢$12.7k
LOW Obamnna · 291d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
BUY No @ 96.2¢$15.9k
LOW Obamnna · 311d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
SELL No @ 96¢$16.3k
LOW Obamnna · 312d ago
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?called
BUY No @ 91¢$14.0k
LOW Obamnna · 317d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
BUY No @ 85¢$10.0k
LOW Obamnna · 331d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
SELL No @ 84¢$26.8k
MED Obamnna · 332d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
BUY No @ 84¢$10.0k
LOW Obamnna · 336d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?excluded
SELL Yes @ 94.2¢$40.9k
MED Obamnna · 353d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called
BUY Yes @ 88¢$20.0k
LOW Obamnna · 360d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called
BUY Yes @ 89¢$11.7k
LOW Obamnna · 360d ago
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?called
SELL Yes @ 73¢$11.7k
LOW Obamnna · 360d ago
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?missed
BUY Yes @ 75¢$12.0k
LOW Obamnna · 360d ago
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?called
SELL Yes @ 72¢$12.6k
LOW Obamnna · 361d ago
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?missed
BUY Yes @ 72¢$12.6k
LOW Obamnna · 361d ago

Share this record

WhaleGrader badge
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x3ab5ad27c676c4be1218397912eab5396e6de56f"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x3ab5ad27c676c4be1218397912eab5396e6de56f.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3ab5ad…