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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 27% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
SELL Yes @ 73¢ · 16,010 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet Obamnna took Yes (sell) for $11.7k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 27% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 27.0%
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 10:09 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 02, 11:26 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Obamnna
- Tx
- 0x9b184e2f…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-8.9 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +73 ptsYes price · entry 73¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $230.3k 7.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $16.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $20.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $19.9k | excluded |