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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 27% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?called
$11.7k
SELL Yes @ 73¢ · 16,010 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What happened

Wallet Obamnna took Yes (sell) for $11.7k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 27% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
73¢
Implied odds
27.0%
Size
$11.7k
Placed
Oct 28, 10:09 EDT
Market close
Nov 02, 11:26 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Obamnna
Tx
0x9b184e2f…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-8.9 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +73 pts
Yes price · entry 73¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 73¢ · $11.7k WHALE $11.7K @ 73¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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