← Wallets
−$13Yes · avg 96.4¢ → 96.2¢ · $7,222−$8No · avg 96.7¢ → 96.5¢ · $5,542+$152No · avg 88¢ → 91.5¢ · $4,590−$8No · avg 97.9¢ → 97.6¢ · $2,829−$50No · avg 83¢ → 82¢ · $2,445+$109No · avg 84¢ → 90.6¢ · $1,571+$13No · avg 97¢ → 97.9¢ · $1,439+$8No · avg 96.9¢ → 97.5¢ · $1,308
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.4 wins, so it did +40.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+40.7 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
2.4
Flagged volume
$356.7k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$137.5k
Last 30 days +$8,812 · $17.94M volume · 89,988 trades · since Aug 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$139.7k
Open P&L · 36 positions
+$422
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
422d
3172 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 4 | 4 | 2.4 | +40.7 pts |
History
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