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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did -5.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-5.9 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$461.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$164.1k
Last 30 days −$0 · $4.83M volume · 7,253 trades · since Jan 09, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$171.4k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$7,260
Closed-position win rate
59%
276 closed
Wallet age · markets
288d
288 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 4 | 2 | 2.2 | -5.9 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x56ebe2…