← Wallets
+$170.5kNo · avg 50¢ → 83¢ · $426.9k−$170.5kYes · avg 50¢ → 17¢ · $85.9k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +19.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+19.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$70.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±39.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$48.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.48M volume · 6,135 trades · since Jan 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$48.0k
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
74%
194 closed
Wallet age · markets
293d
165 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +19.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $10.1k | called |
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $31.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x70c14608f9c06ad9a5f48f1d6ddb6c0fc2d41be2"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x70c14608f9c06ad9a5f48f1d6ddb6c0fc2d41be2.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x70c146…