What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +3.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice.How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+3.7 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$1.36M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,503
Last 30 days −$0 · $7.21M volume · 3,447 trades · since Nov 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
