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US government shutdown Saturday?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $18.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US government shutdown Saturday?excluded$18.4k
SELL Yes @ 92¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet GroyperFinancialServices took Yes (sell) for $18.4k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $18.4k
- Placed
- Jan 30, 19:06 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- GroyperFinancialServices
- Tx
- 0xa5e1477e…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.7 pts
expected 1.0 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -8 ptsYes price · entry 92¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.0k | excluded |