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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?excluded
$13.8k
BUY Yes @ 90¢ · 15,326 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet GroyperFinancialServices took Yes (buy) for $13.8k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
90¢
Implied odds
90.0%
Size
$13.8k
Placed
Mar 01, 20:29 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
GroyperFinancialServices
Tx
0x295aa67a…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.7 pts
expected 1.0 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k100% GroyperFinancialServices235d agoexcluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.9k100% dube235d agoexcluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.0k100% 123412341234235d agoexcluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.8k100% SirBondoslot235d agoexcluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% DiamondHands11235d agoexcluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $28.3k100% scout235d agoexcluded