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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$177.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.81M volume · 1,886 trades · since Feb 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$85.8k
Open P&L · 43 positions
−$25.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
246d
625 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ | $58.3k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $44.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3c9f55…