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What this means. A wallet put $44.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded
$44.0k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 44,085 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet DiamondHands11 took No (buy) for $44.0k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $44.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
99.8%
Size
$44.0k
Placed
Mar 06, 10:16 EST
Market close
Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
DiamondHands11
Tx
0xfd6caca2…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $44.0k WHALE $44.0K @ 99.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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