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Pestle

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -3.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-3.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$24.84M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.2k
Last 30 days −$78 · $187.62M volume · 105,946 trades · since Feb 22, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$22.88M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$16
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
609d
10478 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.7+26.0 pts
Other100.3-32.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $583.8k
14.1× usual
100% 182d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $670.5k
16.1× usual
100% 182d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $670.2k
16.1× usual
100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $86.8k
2.1× usual
100% 184d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.4¢ $71.6k1% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $278.2k
6.7× usual
100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $266.9k
6.4× usual
100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $11.5k100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.5k100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $15.2k100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $15.3k100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $189.9k
4.6× usual
100% 185d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $16.1k100% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $77.9k100% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $159.8k
3.8× usual
100% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $159.7k
3.8× usual
100% 186d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $59.6k1% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $34.4k100% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $47.4k100% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $47.5k100% 186d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ $47.1k1% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $67.1k100% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $65.2k100% 186d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $44.1k1% 186d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.7k100% 187d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $11.7k100% 187d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $517.4k
12.5× usual
100% 187d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $245.1k
5.9× usual
100% 187d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $127.8k
3.1× usual
100% 187d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $127.3k
3.1× usual
100% 187d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $21.0k100% 187d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $220.4k
5.3× usual
1% 187d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $19.9k100% 189d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.5k100% 189d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.0k100% 189d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.7k100% 189d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.8k100% 189d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $52.7k100% 190d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $52.6k100% 190d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $210.8k
5.1× usual
100% 190d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $211.1k
5.1× usual
100% 190d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99¢ $209.4k
5.0× usual
1% 190d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $60.3k100% 191d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $60.4k100% 191d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $59.9k1% 191d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $244.8k
5.9× usual
100% 191d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $245.3k
5.9× usual
100% 191d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 98.9¢ $236.7k
5.7× usual
1% 191d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $21.9k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $21.9k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $21.9k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.8¢ $21.7k1% 192d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $60.3k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $60.2k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.6¢ $59.7k1% 192d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $43.8k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $43.9k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.6¢ $43.4k1% 192d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $17.9k99% 201d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $17.9k100% 201d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ $17.7k2% 201d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $48.0k100% 201d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $47.8k99% 201d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ $47.2k2% 201d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $10.2k99% 201d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.3k100% 201d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $10.2k99% 201d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ $10.1k2% 201d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $64.0k99% 202d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $64.1k100% 202d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ $63.3k2% 202d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $21.4k100% 202d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $21.4k99% 202d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ $21.1k2% 202d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $45.9k99% 203d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $46.0k100% 203d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ $45.4k2% 203d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $30.4k100% 203d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $30.3k99% 203d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ $12.8k2% 203d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $24.3k99% 204d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $48.6k100% 204d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $48.5k99% 204d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ $48.0k2% 204d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $37.9k100% 205d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $37.8k99% 205d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.9¢ $37.2k2% 205d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $18.9k100% 205d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ $18.7k2% 205d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $125.0k
3.0× usual
99% 205d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $143.5k
3.5× usual
100% 205d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $142.8k
3.4× usual
99% 205d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 98¢ $141.2k
3.4× usual
2% 205d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $21.9k100% 206d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $21.8k99% 206d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.9¢ $21.5k2% 206d agoexcluded
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesLOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 26¢ $26.0k74% 210d agocalled
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston CougarsLOW SELL Houston Cougars @ 58¢ $16.1k42% 211d agoexcluded
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansLOW SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 35¢ $14.0k65% 216d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% 219d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $360.0k
8.7× usual
100% 223d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $207.3k
5.0× usual
100% 224d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $19.3k100% 224d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $31.2k100% 225d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $349.7k
8.4× usual
100% 225d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $92.0k
2.2× usual
100% 225d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $703.5k
16.9× usual
100% 225d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $20.9k100% 225d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $74.0k100% 225d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $74.4k99% 226d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $76.5k100% 226d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $74.1k100% 226d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $24.9k99% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $68.4k100% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $36.4k100% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $124.9k
3.0× usual
100% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $122.0k
2.9× usual
99% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $50.3k100% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $50.1k99% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $25.9k100% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $25.8k99% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $75.0k100% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $89.7k
2.2× usual
99% 227d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 228d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $51.5k99% 228d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $51.8k100% 228d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $25.9k100% 228d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $25.7k99% 228d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $19.8k99% 229d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $19.9k100% 229d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 230d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $43.0k100% 230d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $42.6k99% 230d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $72.9k100% 230d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $22.7k99% 231d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $54.3k100% 231d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $27.7k99% 231d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $22.7k99% 231d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $45.5k99% 232d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $89.4k
2.2× usual
99% 232d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $81.2k100% 232d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.7¢ $293.8k
7.1× usual
100% 232d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $120.8k
2.9× usual
100% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $11.6k99% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.6¢ $310.1k
7.5× usual
100% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $46.2k99% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $192.2k
4.6× usual
100% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $112.2k
2.7× usual
99% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $109.6k
2.6× usual
100% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $17.7k99% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $89.5k
2.2× usual
100% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $25.7k99% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $31.3k100% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $33.1k99% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $14.4k100% 238d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $11.5k98% 238d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $39.2k100% 239d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ $45.2k98% 239d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $20.5k100% 239d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $20.7k100% 239d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $12.7k100% 239d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ $12.5k98% 239d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $44.8k100% 239d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $19.7k98% 239d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $31.7k99% 241d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ $37.9k98% 241d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 87¢ $13.9k13% 242d agomissed
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $14.9k87% 242d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $19.5k99% 242d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 97.2¢ $19.1k97% 242d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $15.3k97% 243d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $73.3k100% 243d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $24.3k97% 243d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ $16.2k97% 244d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 96¢ $26.7k96% 245d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $12.8k99% 245d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $41.9k99% 251d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $87.7k
2.1× usual
99% 254d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $19.8k99% 255d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $17.0k85% 255d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $11.6k99% 255d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $130.4k
3.1× usual
99% 255d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 84¢ $39.4k84% 255d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $15.1k85% 255d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 86¢ $66.9k86% 256d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $37.6k99% 256d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $13.8k99% 257d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $12.0k86% 257d agocalled
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 68¢ $61.5k32% 258d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $85.5k
2.1× usual
99% 258d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 86¢ $40.5k86% 258d agocalled
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $83.5k
2.0× usual
1% 259d agoexcluded
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $125.8k
3.0× usual
99% 259d agoexcluded
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $57.1k1% 259d agoexcluded
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $13.9k100% 259d agoexcluded
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $17.9k1% 260d agoexcluded
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $17.9k99% 260d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $63.6k98% 262d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $10.6k98% 263d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $10.9k99% 268d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $14.8k99% 268d agoexcluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY No @ 68¢ $11.6k68% 269d agocalled
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $11.9k32% 269d agomissed
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $402.2k
9.7× usual
100% 269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99¢ $370.9k
8.9× usual
1% 269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $31.5k100% 269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99¢ $133.0k
3.2× usual
1% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $39.0k99% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $76.5k100% 270d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $22.9k100% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $44.5k1% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $352.4k
8.5× usual
100% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $21.8k99% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.3¢ $407.2k
9.8× usual
99% 270d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $149.1k
3.6× usual
100% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99¢ $412.4k
9.9× usual
1% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $89.4k
2.2× usual
100% 270d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $225.2k
5.4× usual
100% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99¢ $503.0k
12.1× usual
1% 270d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $111.0k
2.7× usual
100% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ $101.2k
2.4× usual
1% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $447.1k
10.8× usual
100% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ $455.1k
11.0× usual
1% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $201.9k
4.9× usual
99% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $22.5k1% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ $22.3k1% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $22.3k99% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ $193.5k
4.7× usual
1% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $193.9k
4.7× usual
99% 270d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $158.6k
3.8× usual
100% 271d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99¢ $157.2k
3.8× usual
1% 271d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $157.5k
3.8× usual
99% 271d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ $205.5k
4.9× usual
1% 271d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $228.5k
5.5× usual
99% 271d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $161.2k
3.9× usual
100% 271d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $88.7k
2.1× usual
99% 272d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.7¢ $21.0k99% 273d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ $22.5k1% 273d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $14.1k99% 273d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.4¢ $11.2k2% 273d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $12.1k99% 274d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ $13.8k2% 274d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 274d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $23.4k100% 275d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ $17.4k2% 275d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $69.0k100% 275d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ $22.5k2% 275d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $107.1k
2.6× usual
100% 275d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ $17.9k2% 275d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.4¢ $22.6k2% 275d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.1¢ $21.4k2% 275d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $93.3k
2.2× usual
100% 275d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.9¢ $11.7k2% 275d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $11.8k98% 275d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.6¢ $50.9k2% 276d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $51.0k98% 276d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.1¢ $22.3k3% 276d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 97.2¢ $14.1k3% 276d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $42.0k100% 279d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $41.9k100% 279d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ $16.9k96% 279d agocalled
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $60.0k100% 279d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $59.2k100% 279d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $107.3k
2.6× usual
100% 280d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $106.7k
2.6× usual
100% 280d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 95.2¢ $21.8k5% 280d agomissed
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.7k100% 280d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.6k100% 280d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 95.5¢ $10.2k5% 280d agomissed
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $81.2k100% 280d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $81.1k100% 280d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 95.5¢ $18.0k5% 280d agomissed
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $20.2k96% 280d agocalled
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 95.4¢ $20.4k5% 281d agomissed
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $215.4k
5.2× usual
100% 281d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $172.8k
4.2× usual
100% 281d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 94.8¢ $39.0k5% 281d agomissed
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ $21.2k95% 281d agocalled
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $35.1k100% 281d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $32.6k100% 281d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $33.0k100% 281d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $125.1k
3.0× usual
100% 282d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $67.5k100% 282d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 95.3¢ $48.9k95% 282d agocalled
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 94.8¢ $12.3k5% 282d agomissed
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $181.2k
4.4× usual
100% 282d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $102.0k
2.5× usual
100% 282d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 95¢ $75.4k5% 282d agomissed
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.6k100% 282d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 95.1¢ $48.8k5% 282d agomissed
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ $15.7k96% 282d agocalled
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $205.6k
5.0× usual
100% 282d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $47.9k100% 282d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $96.7k
2.3× usual
100% 282d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 95.3¢ $38.4k5% 282d agomissed
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $74.5k100% 282d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 95.4¢ $27.4k5% 282d agomissed
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $45.4k100% 282d agoexcluded

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