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What this means. A wallet put $26.0k on not Iowa Hawkeyes, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.0k
SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 26¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Pestle took Iowa Hawkeyes (sell) for $26.0k at an average 26¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved Illinois Fighting Illini, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 26¢
- Implied odds
- 74.0%
- As American odds
- −285 no vig
- Size
- $26.0k
- Placed
- Mar 28, 05:00 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 28, 18:09 EDT
- Result
- Illinois Fighting Illini
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pestle
- Tx
- 0x500fc7bb…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +26 ptsIowa Hawkeyes price · entry 26¢ · resolved Illinois Fighting Illini · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $26.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 76¢ | $87.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 75¢ | $12.9k | excluded |