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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$325.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$107.2k
Last 30 days −$118 · $5.19M volume · 1,125 trades · since Dec 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$479.6k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$5,091
Closed-position win rate
74%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
309d
626 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 51¢ | $49.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.6¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 79¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 72¢ | $52.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 76¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
 Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Connecticut Huskies @ 99.9¢ | $43.1k | excluded |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 57¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | LOW BUY Houston Cougars @ 57¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x636876…