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What this means. A wallet put $13.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.9k
SELL No @ 87¢ · 16,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Pestle took No (sell) for $13.9k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 13.3%
- As American odds
- +652 no vig
- Size
- $13.9k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 03:48 EST
- Market close
- Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pestle
- Tx
- 0x40bdf081…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $90.2k 3.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $11.6k | excluded |