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What this means. A wallet put $33.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$33.0k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 33,101 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet Pestle took No (buy) for $33.0k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $33.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
99.7%
Size
$33.0k
Placed
Jan 15, 05:33 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Pestle
Tx
0x83f15b68…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.7k0% pigswallet268d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.6k0% 0x1f5a…7332269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.6k100% 0x1f5a…7332269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% chriszyy3269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.9k0% 0x4350…a17f269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.0k100% 0x4350…a17f269d agoexcluded