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pigswallet

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$89.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,740
Last 30 days +$637 · $355.9k volume · 717 trades · since Nov 29, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$2,857
Open P&L · 6 positions
+$891
Closed-position win rate
95%
40 closed
Wallet age · markets
329d
46 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $15.5k100% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $15.5k0% 184d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $15.1k97% 219d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $14.6k100% 269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.7k0% 269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $14.3k99% 329d agoexcluded

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