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What this means. A wallet put $125.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$125.0k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 125,840 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite5 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Pestle took No (buy) for $125.0k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $125.0k+2
Near-certain price-2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $125.0k
- Placed
- Apr 01, 08:07 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pestle
- Tx
- 0x9af14a5c…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $141.1k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $537.0k 11.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $728.7k 15.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $1.06M 22.6× usual |
excluded |