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QMG-CORE

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?+$59.9kYes · avg 22¢ → 93.5¢ · $78.1k · 1 proven with, 0 againstUS recession by end of 2026?+$99No · avg 91¢ → 91.5¢ · $19.6kWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?−$422No · avg 95.4¢ → 93.1¢ · $17.1kIran Nuke before 2027?−$43No · avg 95.8¢ → 95.5¢ · $15.8kTrump out as President before 2027?+$446No · avg 93¢ → 95.8¢ · $15.3kZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?+$126No · avg 92.7¢ → 93.5¢ · $15.0kWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?−$426Yes · avg 83¢ → 80¢ · $12.0kWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?+$562No · avg 92.4¢ → 97.5¢ · $10.6k
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$106.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$152.6k
Last 30 days −$947 · $18.39M volume · 54,410 trades · since Mar 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$376.0k
Open P&L · 212 positions
+$60.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
940d
2456 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $14.9k100% 88d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% 88d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 177d agoexcluded
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 208d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $12.1k100% 317d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $19.9k1% 318d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$14.9k
LOW QMG-CORE · 88d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW QMG-CORE · 88d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$15.0k
LOW QMG-CORE · 177d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$15.0k
LOW QMG-CORE · 177d ago
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$15.0k
LOW QMG-CORE · 208d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$12.1k
LOW QMG-CORE · 317d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.2¢$19.9k
LOW QMG-CORE · 318d ago

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