← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $583.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$583.8k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 584,950 shares in 24 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite24 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)14.1× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Pestle took No (buy) for $583.8k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $583.8k+3
Near-certain price-2
24 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $583.8k
- Placed
- Apr 24, 09:44 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pestle
- Tx
- 0x0d8f9a16…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $141.1k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $537.0k 11.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $728.7k 15.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $1.06M 22.6× usual |
excluded |