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What this means. A wallet put $447.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$447.1k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 447,550 shares in 21 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite21 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)10.8× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Pestle took No (buy) for $447.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $447.1k+3
Near-certain price-2
21 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $447.1k
- Placed
- Jan 26, 09:13 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pestle
- Tx
- 0xc34acf11…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |