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What this means. A wallet put $34.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
$34.4k
BUY No @ 99.6¢ · 34,509 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet Pestle took No (buy) for $34.4k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $34.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
99.6%
Size
$34.4k
Placed
Apr 20, 18:40 EDT
Market close
Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Pestle
Tx
0x7bc990eb…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.6¢ · $34.4k WHALE $34.4K @ 99.6¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Oddinn177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $384.4k
8.2× usual
100% Oddinn177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.5k100% ssxji177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $113.8k
2.4× usual
100% Oddinn177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $397.9k100% LordofPM178d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $944.3k
20.2× usual
100% Oddinn182d agoexcluded