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What this means. A wallet put $34.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$34.4k
BUY No @ 99.6¢ · 34,509 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet Pestle took No (buy) for $34.4k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $34.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 99.6%
- Size
- $34.4k
- Placed
- Apr 20, 18:40 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pestle
- Tx
- 0x7bc990eb…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $384.4k 8.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $113.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $397.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $944.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |