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+$33No · avg 94.4¢ → 95.3¢ · $3,297+$31No · avg 95.3¢ → 97¢ · $1,805−$61No · avg 90¢ → 86¢ · $1,516+$16Yes · avg 85¢ → 86¢ · $903+$26No · avg 89¢ → 96.9¢ · $344+$7No · avg 94.3¢ → 97.2¢ · $220+$6No · avg 92.3¢ → 95.5¢ · $172+$19No · avg 83¢ → 94.5¢ · $153
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$222.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2,085
Last 30 days +$176 · $1.08M volume · 1,482 trades · since Oct 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,916
Open P&L · 9 positions
+$77
Closed-position win rate
94%
131 closed
Wallet age · markets
385d
140 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $50.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $30.4k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
 Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
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