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What this means. A wallet put $944.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
$944.3k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 946,200 shares in 26 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite26 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)20.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet Oddinn took No (buy) for $944.3k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $944.3k+3
Near-certain price-2
26 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
99.8%
Size
$944.3k
Placed
Apr 24, 22:41 EDT
Market close
Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Oddinn
Tx
0x7fe945b3…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+16.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $944.3k WHALE $944.3K @ 99.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Oddinn177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $384.4k
8.2× usual
100% Oddinn177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.5k100% ssxji177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $113.8k
2.4× usual
100% Oddinn177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $397.9k100% LordofPM178d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $1.06M
22.6× usual
100% Oddinn182d agoexcluded