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What this means. A wallet put $384.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$384.4k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 384,800 shares in 10 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite10 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)8.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Oddinn took No (buy) for $384.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $384.4k+3
Near-certain price-2
10 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $384.4k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 11:20 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Oddinn
- Tx
- 0xca0920da…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+16.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $113.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $397.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $944.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $1.06M 22.6× usual |
excluded |