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What this means. A wallet put $16.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?called
$16.2k
BUY No @ 96.7¢ · 16,726 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet Pestle took No (buy) for $16.2k at an average 96.7¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2930American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96.7¢
Implied odds
96.7%
Size
$16.2k
Placed
Feb 21, 15:46 EST
Market close
Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Pestle
Tx
0x2e2cec7f…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
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