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tong012

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$186.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,296
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.55M volume · 1,512 trades · since Nov 03, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$1,296
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
82%
17 closed
Wallet age · markets
355d
17 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $16.3k0% 206d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $11.1k100% 206d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $159.5k
9.8× usual
100% 220d agoexcluded

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