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moonthat

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$49.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,716
Last 30 days −$105 · $3.75M volume · 7,867 trades · since Jan 24, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$3,905
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$217
Closed-position win rate
83%
29 closed
Wallet age · markets
273d
39 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% 219d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $14.0k0% 233d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $15.0k0% 238d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5fa03d…