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What this means. A wallet put $141.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$141.2k
SELL Yes @ 98¢ · 144,050 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side6 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.4× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Pestle took Yes (sell) for $141.2k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $141.2k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 2.0%
- Size
- $141.2k
- Placed
- Apr 01, 07:56 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pestle
- Tx
- 0xdfde1334…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.5k | excluded |