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What this means. A wallet put $42.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$42.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 42,027 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet Pestle took No (buy) for $42.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $42.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$42.0k
Placed
Jan 18, 02:48 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Pestle
Tx
0xb99470c6…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $42.0k WHALE $42.0K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k0% ClaudeAI268d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% 0x2060…be52269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.7k0% 0xcc46…d7e2269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.3k0% 0x5ef1…8b83269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% 0xe9eb…1410269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% 0x8c49…54fa269d agoexcluded