Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $5.49M 152 flags |
$516.7k 4 wallets |
$178.4k 3 wallets |
| Not No | $2.67M 77 flags |
$110.9k 2 wallets |
none |
| Yes | $609.8k 36 flags |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $174.3k 10 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| HIGH SELL No @ 82¢ | $319.4k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $31.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $75.8k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $19.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $83.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $388.2k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.2¢ | $19.2k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $17.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $19.3k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 97¢ | $80.5k 3.2× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.2¢ | $14.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $19.2k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 95¢ | $33.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $19.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $20.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $62.8k 3.0× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $18.8k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $50.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $13.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $118.1k 3.4× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 7¢ | $14.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $13.2k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 95¢ | $38.1k 2.2× usual |
missed |
| MED SELL No @ 95¢ | $35.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $14.4k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $11.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $21.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $57.6k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $31.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $13.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $45.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $30.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 6.9¢ | $12.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $23.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $12.1k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 92¢ | $46.0k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 92¢ | $55.2k 2.6× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $13.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $10.2k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 92¢ | $18.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $13.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $13.1k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 95¢ | $28.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $12.6k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 95¢ | $33.2k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 95¢ | $170.6k 6.9× usual |
called |
| MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $25.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $15.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $18.8k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $13.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $12.7k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 93¢ | $26.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $13.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $17.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $16.1k | missed |
| HIGH SELL No @ 93¢ | $58.7k 2.7× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $53.5k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $18.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $25.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $10.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $44.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $10.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $61.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $18.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $18.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $18.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 11¢ | $19.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 88¢ | $48.4k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 11¢ | $12.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $18.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $64.6k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 85¢ | $12.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $18.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $16.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $33.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $22.2k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 18¢ | $16.9k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 18¢ | $11.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $20.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $12.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $15.8k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $23.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $28.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $18.3k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $15.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $11.9k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $35.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $17.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $16.1k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 80¢ | $95.5k 4.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $22.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $33.6k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 80¢ | $55.3k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 79¢ | $69.1k 2.4× usual |
called |
| HIGH BUY No @ 78¢ | $653.1k 12.7× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $15.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $14.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $20.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $14.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $32.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $14.5k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 79¢ | $50.7k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $14.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $39.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $14.2k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $26.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $15.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $47.1k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 76¢ | $35.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $50.0k 2.2× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 29¢ | $26.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ | $20.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $12.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 75¢ | $67.4k 2.8× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 76¢ | $12.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $11.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $21.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $22.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $25.4k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 79¢ | $39.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $12.1k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $12.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $11.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $16.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $15.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $87.0k 3.4× usual |
called |
| MED BUY No @ 79¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $33.9k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 76¢ | $19.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 22¢ | $10.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $30.0k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $13.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $11.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 24¢ | $14.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 77¢ | $15.4k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 78¢ | $67.6k 2.8× usual |
missed |
| MED SELL No @ 79¢ | $31.5k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 79¢ | $31.6k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 79¢ | $163.3k 6.4× usual |
missed |
| MED SELL No @ 79¢ | $52.5k 2.7× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $10.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $16.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 79¢ | $79.0k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $33.8k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $11.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $11.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $49.2k 2.5× usual |
called |
| MED SELL No @ 81¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 81¢ | $28.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $13.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $10.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $15.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $11.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $27.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $200.0k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $10.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 80¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $28.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $16.5k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $39.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $11.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $16.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $39.1k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 81¢ | $44.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $23.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $12.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $48.1k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $240.0k 6.4× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $40.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $10.7k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $31.8k 2.2× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $14.8k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $11.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $11.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 78¢ | $60.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $27.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $16.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $20.8k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 76¢ | $41.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $26.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $11.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 26¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $10.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $23.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $14.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $12.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $12.2k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 80¢ | $103.9k 3.9× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $18.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $23.3k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $181.8k 6.9× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $32.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $11.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $14.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $17.9k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $25.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $17.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $40.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $40.1k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 81¢ | $33.4k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 83¢ | $29.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $30.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $22.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $17.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $15.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $13.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $39.1k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $26.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $12.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $14.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $18.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $16.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $11.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $17.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $31.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $11.9k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 91¢ | $31.9k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 90¢ | $34.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $51.0k 2.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $15.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $23.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $36.0k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 275 whale trades on this market totalling $8.94M from 139 wallets. The largest was $653.1k (buy No at 78¢). Most whale money ($5.49M) went to No. 162 of 275 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0xd3d7…ac2b ($707.6k), has no graded flags yet.
Market data from Polymarket (khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31).