DaOnepiece

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$272.7k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$50.7k

Last 30 days +$2,139 · $2.34M volume · 1,340 trades · since Oct 27, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$41.0k

Open P&L · 122 positions

−$90.6k

Closed-position win rate

54%

323 closed

Wallet age · markets

362d

443 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$52.2k 2.1× usual	0%	145d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 66¢	$16.4k	66%	151d ago	called
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 86¢	$17.9k	86%	154d ago	called
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢	$16.3k	3%	154d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 89¢	$25.1k	11%	198d ago	called
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 91.7¢	$34.1k	92%	205d ago	missed
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED SELL No @ 88¢	$42.6k	12%	205d ago	missed
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW BUY No @ 65¢	$33.6k	65%	234d ago	called
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	LOW SELL No @ 98¢	$24.3k	2%	269d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99¢	$10.1k	1%	276d ago	excluded

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$52.2k

LOW DaOnepiece · 145d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 66¢$16.4k

LOW DaOnepiece · 151d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 86¢$17.9k

LOW DaOnepiece · 154d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?excluded

SELL No @ 97.3¢$16.3k

LOW DaOnepiece · 154d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?called

SELL No @ 89¢$25.1k

MED DaOnepiece · 198d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?missed

BUY No @ 91.7¢$34.1k

LOW DaOnepiece · 205d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?missed

SELL No @ 88¢$42.6k

MED DaOnepiece · 205d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 65¢$33.6k

LOW DaOnepiece · 234d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?excluded

SELL No @ 98¢$24.3k

LOW DaOnepiece · 269d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99¢$10.1k

LOW DaOnepiece · 276d ago

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