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+$510No · avg 84¢ → 94.5¢ · $4,725 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$104No · avg 83¢ → 80¢ · $4,025+$84No · avg 90.7¢ → 93.5¢ · $2,806+$81No · avg 94.1¢ → 97.4¢ · $2,434+$113No · avg 92¢ → 97.7¢ · $1,955+$117No · avg 90¢ → 95.8¢ · $1,915+$71No · avg 91.9¢ → 96¢ · $1,634+$115No · avg 89¢ → 97.2¢ · $1,457
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$143.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,287
Last 30 days +$2,083 · $1.99M volume · 6,159 trades · since Oct 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$49.6k
Open P&L · 338 positions
+$4,535
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
730d
1187 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $39.8k | excluded |
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