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0xe217…846d

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+6.9 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$75.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$73.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.87M volume · 1,863 trades · since Jan 14, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$25.7k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$96.9k
Closed-position win rate
67%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
283d
6 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other110.9+6.9 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ $21.0k14% 37d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 13¢ $27.2k13% 37d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ $15.0k46% 108d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 6.9¢ $12.4k93% 277d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe217bd…