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What this means. A wallet put $21.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.0k
BUY Yes @ 14¢ · 150,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0xe217…846d took Yes (buy) for $21.0k at an average 14¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 14¢ means
14%chance the market gave
+614American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 14¢
- Implied odds
- 14.0%
- Size
- $21.0k
- Placed
- Sep 16, 13:45 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xe217…846d
- Tx
- 0x2a7029ef…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.9 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $14.9k | excluded |