ClickKlackClick

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +15.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−$2,640No · avg 47¢ → 33¢ · $6,357 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−$2,108Yes · avg 47¢ → 32¢ · $4,800 Will Dennis Geiger record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?+$12No · avg 80¢ → 90¢ · $112 Will Ewandro record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?+$7No · avg 78¢ → 89¢ · $57 Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?−$7Yes · avg 75¢ → 66¢ · $47 Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?+$8No · avg 72¢ → 96.2¢ · $33 Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?+$2No · avg 60¢ → 66¢ · $29 Will Aston Villa reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?+$3Yes · avg 66¢ → 74¢ · $29

Price-adjusted edge

+15.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$262.6k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$39.7k

Last 30 days −$4,271 · $621.5k volume · 542 trades · since Jul 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$44.9k

Open P&L · 20 positions

−$4,745

Closed-position win rate

100%

227 closed

Wallet age · markets

102d

246 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Economy	1	1	0.8	+15.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢	$49.5k	96%	37d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢	$49.5k	98%	37d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 85¢	$121.9k 2.5× usual	85%	39d ago	called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢	$41.6k	83%	86d ago	excluded

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 95.6¢$49.5k

LOW ClickKlackClick · 37d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98¢$49.5k

LOW ClickKlackClick · 37d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 85¢$121.9k

MED ClickKlackClick · 39d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 83¢$41.6k

LOW ClickKlackClick · 86d ago

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