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FrancisAnthony

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Heat vs. Hornets+$46Heat · avg 58¢ → 68¢ · $326 · 2 proven with, 2 against
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$99.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$56.9k
Last 30 days +$104 · $988.9k volume · 455 trades · since Dec 26, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$21.2k
Open P&L · 45 positions
−$33.4k
Closed-position win rate
69%
271 closed
Wallet age · markets
302d
312 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $14.9k89% 38d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ $84.2k59% 50d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8d266b…